Peer-reviewed publications

Email me alejandra.moran [at] / a.moran [at] for a PDF copy of any of the publications listed here. Thanks!


  • [42] Miezïte, L. E., Ameztegui, A., De Cáceres, M., Coll, L., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Vega-García, C., Rodrigues, M. (2022) Trajectories of wildfire behaviour under climate change. Can forest management mitigate the increasing hazard? Journal of Environmental Management, 322, 116134.
  • [41] Mazziotta, A., Lundström, J., Forsell, N., Moor, H., Eggers, J., Subramanian, N., Aquilué, N., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Brotons, L., Snäll, T. (2022) More future synergies and less trade-offs between forest ecosystem services with natural climate solutions instead of bioeconomy solutions. Global Change Biology (early online)
  • [40] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Hermoso, V., Martínez-Salinas, A. (2022) Multi-objective forest restoration planning in Costa Rica: Balancing landscape connectivity and ecosystem service provisioning with sustainable development. Journal of Environmental Management , 310 (15): 114717.
  • [39] Abarca, H., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Villero, D., Guinart, D., Brotons, L., Hermoso, V (2022) Spatial prioritization of management zones in protected areas for the integration of multiple-objectives. Biodiversity and Conservation, 31: 1197–1215.
  • [38] Ramsauer, J., Brotons, L., Herrando, S., Morán-Ordóñez, A. (2022) A multi-scale landscape approach to understand dispersal of the mistletoe by birds in Mediterranean pine forests. Landscape Ecology, 37: 511–528.


  • [37] Ameztegui, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Márquez, A., Blázquez-Casado, A., Pla, M., Villero, D., García, M.B., Errea, M.P., Coll, L. (in press) Forest expansion in mountain protected areas: trends and consequences for the landscape. Landscape and Urban Planning, 216: 104240.
  • [36] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Ramsauer, J., Coll, L., Brotons, L., Ameztegui, A. (2021) Ecosystem Services provision by Mediterranean forests will be compromised above 2ºC warming. Global Change Biology, 27 (18):  4210-4222.
  • [35] Lanzas, M., Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Regos, A., Bota, G., Brotons, L. (2021) The value of unprotected land for future conservation under dynamic conditions. Biological Conservation, 261: 109232.
  • [34] Hermoso, V., Regos, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Duane, A., Brotons, L. (2021) Tree‐planting: a double‐edged sword to fight climate change in an era of megafires Global Change Biology, 24 (13): 3001 -3003 (doi: 10.1111/gcb.15625)
  • [33] Driscoll, D.A., Armenteras, D., Bennett, A.F., Brotons, L., Clarke, M.F., Doherty, T.S., Haslem, A., Kelly, L.T., Sato, C.F., Sitters, H., Aquilué, N., Bell, K., Chadid, M., Duane, A., Meza‐Elizalde, M.C., Giljohann, K.M.,González, T.M., Jambhekar, R., Lazzari, J.,  Morán‐Ordóñez, A., Wevill, T. (2021) How fire interacts with habitat loss and fragmentation. Biological Reviews, 96 (3): 976-998.
  • [32] Mata, L., Andersen, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Hahs, A., Backstrom, A., Ives, C., Bickel, D., Duncan, D., Palma, E., Thomas, F., Cranney, K., Walker, K., Shears, I., Semeraro, L., Malipatil, M., Moir, M., Plein, M., Porch, N., Vesk, P., Smith, T., Lynch, Y. (2021) Indigenous plants promote insect biodiversity in urban greenspaces. Ecological Applications 31 (4): e02309.
  • [31] Roces-Díaz, J.V., Vayreda, J., De Cáceres,M., García-Valdés, R., Banque-Casanovas, M., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Brotons, L., de-Miguel, S., Martínez-Vilalta , J. (2021) Temporal changes in Mediterranean forest ecosystem services are driven by stand development, rather than by climate-related disturbances. Forest Ecology and Management, 480: 118623.


  • [30] Kelly, L.T., Giljohann, K.M., Duane, A., Aquilué, N., Archibald, S., Batllori, E., Bennett, A., Buckland, S.T., Canelles, Q., Clarke, M.F., Fortin, M-J., Hermoso, V., Herrando, S., Keane, R.E., Lake, F.K., McCarthy, M.A., Morán Ordóñez, A., Parr, C.L., Pausas, J.G., Penman,T.D., Regos, A., Rumpff, L., Santos, J.L., Smith, A.L., Syphard, A.D., Tingley, M.W. ,Brotons, L. (2020) Fire and biodiversity in the Anthropocene. Science, 370: eabb0355.
  • [29] Morán-Ordóñez, A. (2020) Conservation of “new” species within and beyond protected areas. Animal Conservation , 23: 353-354* Invited contribution
  • [28] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Ameztegui, A., De Cáceres, M., de-Miguel, S., Lefèvre, F., Brotons, L., Coll, L. (2020) Future trade-offs and synergies among ecosystem services in Mediterranean forests under global change scenarios. Ecosystem Services, 25: 101174
  • [27] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Duane, A., Gil-Tena, A., De Cáceres, M., Aquilué, N., Guerra, C.A, Geijzendorffer, I.R., Fortin, M-J., Brotons, L. (2020). Future impact of climate extremes in the Mediterranean: soil erosion projections when fire and extreme rainfall meet. Land Degradation & Development, 31: 3040-3054.
  • [26] García, J., Morán-Ordóñez, A., García, J.T., Calero-Riestra, M., Alda, F., Sanz, J.,Suárez-Seoane (2020) Current landscape attributes and landscape stability in breeding grounds explain genetic differentiation in a long-distance migratory bird. Animal Conservation. Early online.
  • [25] Washbourne, C., Dendoncker, N., et al. (2020). Improving collaboration between ecosystem service communities and the IPBES science-policy platform. Ecosystems and People, 16: 165-174.
  • [24] Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Lanzas, M., Brotons,. L (2020) Designing a network of green infrastructure for the EU. Landscape and Urban Planning, 196: 10373.


  • [23] Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Canessa, S., Brotons, L. (2019) Realising the potential of Natura 2000 to achieve EU conservation goals as 2020 approaches. Scientific Reports 9: 16087. PDF
  • [22] Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Canessa, S., Brotons, L. (2019)  Four ideas to boost EU conservation policy as 2020 nears. Environmental Research Letters (early view) PDF
  • [21] Duane, A., Aquilué, N., Canelles, Q., Morán-Ordoñez, A., De Cáceres, M. and Brotons, L. (2019) Adapting prescribed burns to future climate change in Mediterranean landscapes. Science of The Total Environment, 667: 68-83. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.348.
  • [20] Canessa, S., Morán Ordóñez, A., Hermoso, V. (2019) Brexit: EU conservation suffers too. Nature, 568 (7752): 316. DOI:  10.1038/d41586-019-01204-8.
  • [19] Harrison, P.A., Harmáčková, Z.V., Karabulut Aloe, A., Brotons, L., Cantele, M., Claudet, J., Dunford, R.W., Guisan, A., Holman, I.P., Jacobs, S., Kok, K., Lobanova, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Pedde, S., Rixen, C., Santos-Martín, F., Schlaepfer, M.A., Solidoro,  C., Sonrel, A., Hauck, J. (2019) Synthesising plausible futures for biodiversity and ecosystem services in Europe and Central Asia using scenario archetypes. Ecology & Society 24 (2): 27. PDF
  • [18]  Balzan, M. V, Pinheiro, A.M., Mascarenhas, A., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Ruiz-Frau, A., Carvalho-Santos, C., Vogiatzakis, I., Arends, J., Santana-Garcon, J., Roces-Díaz, J. V, Brotons, L., Campagne, C.S., Roche, P., de Miguel, S., Targetti, S., Drakou, E., Vlami, V., Baró, F., Geijzendorffer, I. (2019) Improving ecosystem assessments in Mediterranean social-ecological systems: a DPSIR analysis. Ecosystems and People, 15:1: 136-155. DOI: 10.1080/26395916.2019.1598499
  • [17] Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Canessa, S. Brotons,. L (2019) A dynamic strategy for EU conservation. Science, 363(6427):592-593. DOI: 10.1126/science.aaw3615.
  • [16] Gil-Tena, A.,  Morán-Ordóñez, A., Comas, L, Retana, J., Vayreda, J., Brotons, L. (2019) A quantitative assessment of mid-term risks of global change on forests in Western Mediterranean Europe. Regional Environmental Change, 19: 819–831DOI: 10.1007/s10113-018-1437-0.
  • [15] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Roces-Díaz, J.V., Otsu, K., Ameztegui, A.,  Coll, L., Lefevre, F., Retana, J., Brotons, L. (2019) The use of scenarios and models to evaluate the future of nature values and ecosystem services in Mediterranean forests. Regional Environmental Change, 19: 415-428DOI: 10.1007/s10113-018-1408-5.


  • [14] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Canessa, S., Bota, G., Brotons, L., Herrando, S. and Hermoso, V. (2018). Efficiency of species survey networks can be improved by integrating different monitoring approaches in a spatial prioritization design. Conservation Letters, 11(6): e12591. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12591
  • [13] Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., and Brotons, L. (2018) Assessing the role of Natura 2000 at maintaining dynamic landscapes in Europe over the last two decades: implications for conservation. Landscape Ecology, 33: 1447–1460. DOI: 10.1007/s10980-018-0683-3.
  • [12] Lamb, A.M., Gan, H.M., Greening, C., Joseph, L., Lee, Y.P., Morán‐Ordóñez, A., Sunnucks, P. and Pavlova, A. (2018). Climate‐driven mitochondrial selection: a test in Australian songbirds. Molecular ecology, 27: 898-918. DOI: 10.1111/mec.14488.
  • [11] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Briscoe, N.J. and Wintle B. (2018) Modelling species responses to extreme weather provides new insights into constraints on range and likely climate change impacts for Australian mammals. Ecography, 41: 308-320. DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02850. PDF.
  • [10] Davis, J.,  Sim, L., Thompson, R. M., Pinder,  Brim Box, J., Murphy, N.P., Sheldon, F., Morán-Ordóñez, A. and Sunnucks, P (2018). Patterns and drivers of aquatic invertebrate diversity across an arid biome. Ecography, 41: 375-387. DOI: 10.1111/ecog.02334. PDF.


  • [9] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Lahoz-Monfort, J. J., Elith, J. and Wintle, B. (2017) Evaluating 318 continental-scale species distribution models over a 60-year prediction horizon: what factors influence the reliability of predictions? Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26: 371-384. DOI: 10.1111/geb.12545. 
  • [8] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Whitehead, A.L., Luck, G. W.,  Cook, G.D., Maggini, R.,  Fitzsimons, J.A, and Wintle, B. A (2017) Analysis of trade-offs between biodiversity, carbon farming and agricultural development in northern Australia reveals the benefits of strategic planning. Conservation Letters, 10:  94-104. DOI: 10.1111/conl.12255


  • [7] Tingley, R., Mahoney, P.J., Durso, A.M., Tallian, A.G., Morán-Ordóñez, A. and Beard KH (2016) Threatened and invasive reptiles are not two sides of the same coin. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 25: 1050-1060.

  • [6] Razeng, E., Morán-Ordóñez, A., Brim Box, J., Thompson R., Davis, J. and Sunnucks, P. (2016). A potential role for overland dispersal in shaping aquatic invertebrate communities in arid regions. Freshwater Biology, 61:  745-757.

2015 and previous

  • [5] Morán-Ordóñez, A.,  Pavlova, A., Pinder, A., Sim, L.,  Sunnucks, P., Thompson, R. and Davis J. (2015) Aquatic communities in arid landscapes: local conditions, dispersal-traits and landscape configuration determine local biodiversity. Diversity & Distributions, 21: 1230-1241
  • [4] Morán-Ordoñez, A. (2013). Modelado espacio-temporal de los servicios que proporciona la biodiversidad en los matorrales de la Cordillera Cantábrica (NO España). Efectos de los cambios socioeconómicos a varias escalas. Ecosistemas, 22(3): 124-127. Doi.: 10.7818/ECOS.2013.22-3.17. (pdf)

  • [3] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Bugter, R., Suárez-Seoane, S., de Luis, E. and Calvo, L. (2013) Temporal Changes in Socio-Ecological Systems and Their Impact on Ecosystem Services at Different Governance Scales: A Case Study of Heathlands. Ecosystems, 16: 765-782. DOI: 10.1007/s10021-013-9649-0.

  • [2] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Suárez-Seoane, S., Elith, J., Calvo, L. and de Luis, E. (2012) Satellite surface reflectance improves habitat distribution mapping: a case study on heath and shrub formations in the Cantabrian Mountains (NW Spain). Diversity & Distributions, 18: 588-602.

  • [1] Morán-Ordóñez, A., Suárez-Seoane, S., Calvo, L. and de Luis, E. (2011) Using predictive models as a spatially explicit support tool for managing cultural landscapes. Applied Geography, 31: 839-848.

Book chapters

  • Hermoso, V., Morán-Ordóñez, A., and Brotons, L. (2019) The role of Natura 2000 at maintaining dynamic landscapes in Europe over the last two decades: implications for conservation (Chapter 30). In: Müller, L. andEulenstein, F. (Eds). Current trends in landscape research. pp. 665-680. Springer. ISBN 978-3-030-30069-2.
  • Morán-Ordóñez, A., Suárez-Seoane, S., Marcos,E., Luis, E. and Calvo, L. (2013) The heathlands Economy in South-West Europe: Cantabrian Mountain (Spain). In, Diemont, W.H., Siepel H. and Webb, N.R. (eds): Economy and Ecology of Heathlands. KNNV Uitgeverij Publishing, The Netherlands. ISBN: 9789050114615.

Scientific/technical reports

Other publications

  • Morán-Ordóñez, A. (2017) Usando el conocimiento actual, ¿podemos predecir con acierto dónde y cómo estarán las especies en las próximas décadas?. Decision Point (versión Español #E03), 22-23. (pdf)
  • Morán-Ordóñez, A. (2016)  Developing the Northern Savannas. Trade-offs between biodiversity, carbon and agricultural development.  Decision Point, 97, 14. (pdf)
  • Morán-Ordóñez, A. (2012). Spatio-temporal modelling of services provided by the diversity of shrub and heath communities in the Cantabrian Mountains (NW Spain). Effects of socio-economic changes at different scales. PhD Thesis.